simonshen patreon

【突發評論 🇺🇸🇺🇦】特朗普暫停軍事援助烏克蘭，後續如何？我的六點觀察（上）

🕑 Added 2025-03-04 06:41:26 +0000 UTC

Comments

C M

感覺台積電完全搬去美國的話，台灣就毫無價值，隨時可以賣比我中午共

C M

情報分享停咗啦

Good Year

俄羅斯大把貨, 不過全部都係嘔血式嘔出黎

pp lam

亞洲盟友點確保美國會幫佢哋？it is not US war. 可能投靠熊貓好過

Jones Li

但俄羅斯是否已是強弩之末？

冬日大海

北極熊有近親熊貓，和人參國的大量廉價的輸血，北極熊是不懼又怕凍，又怕通漲而要買牠天然氣的歐盟，不怕歐盟出盡奶力的七傷拳打的美國如仍不斷支援烏軍武，可能令美國武器庫存跌至低位。若有太平洋的衝突，美國難有足夠武器支援亞洲盟友，這時損失比失去烏克蘭更大

Frederic Ng

沒有寸寸貢。只是他向烏克蘭人民解釋現在的情況没有得到改善吧

Dada Ho

是咯，我都覺得是小懲大誡。馬一龍都唔話斷鏈，估計司機也知道，所以還寸貢貢話，呢場仗未完。睇死你唔會郁我。態度相當黑人憎，擺明寸Trump內閣。大佬未動真怒，

Carl Yang

I hate to say that, but I cannot stop thinking about the following when i think about the business man. “He will confirm a covenant with many for one ‘seven.’ In the middle of the ‘seven’ he will put an end to sacrifice and offering. And at the temple he will set up an abomination that causes desolation, until the end that is decreed is poured out on him.”

Joseph

到議和時候一樣會出呢招要烏割地賠款改組親俄政府，唔應承就威脅全out，其實無分別，遲早會失守，反而重點在佢近日對台言論，淨係focus 價值淨係得台積電，如果令主流narrative 變成咁就好危險，一東一西橋頭堡相繼失守

Carl Yang

殺雞儆猴中的猴。要傾deal ，先要跪。不跪，趕你走再罰。等你識跪先同你簽自己著數哂既deal 。佢並唔想烏克蘭死，只係想用呢隻雞「教育」各隻𤠣點樣同佢做deal，做啲點樣嘅deal，顯示America Great Again

Dav

其實成套戲入面，歐洲係主動定係被動地參與其中？

George

Any mood of despair about these developments, especially regarding sleight of hand from a dealmaker, needs to be heavily qualified. As of now, it’s still unlikely that peace initiatives or compromises have completely foundered. There’s no real sign that Trump is determined to withdraw from the negotiations. Instead, his administration is keeping an ear to the ground for how the EU responds and his incentives to cut a deal remain strong. A calculated businessman is very reluctant to allow his adversaries or incompetent opportunists to take advantage of him during the dealmaking process. Trump is now clearly throwing Zelensky under the bus for his own agenda. Hardly do these responses after the tense meeting knock Zelensky for a loop, given Trump’s well-known temperament. The crux of the problem is that time is running out for Ukraine, and that its European allies, who only pay lip service, can’t give Zelensky any real leverage to play his cards in this game. Worse yet for the Ukrainian people, Trump’s stance on Ukraine is now backed by considerable support from Republican colleagues and the American public, and an emboldened Russia is likely to fight more aggressively and seize more territory during the period of the Ukrainian military’s low morale and insufficient military supply in a bid to gain more bargaining chips at the negotiating table. In a cruel reality show run by a businessman, the later Zelensky signs the mineral deal, the harsher the terms will be, and the more likely it is that he’ll be forced to step down after the ceasefire.